{"id":487,"date":"2007-02-12T21:42:41","date_gmt":"2007-02-12T21:42:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gamla.truflun.net\/daniel\/?p=487"},"modified":"2007-02-12T21:42:41","modified_gmt":"2007-02-12T21:42:41","slug":"kannanir-kanna%c3%b0ar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/daniel\/2007\/02\/12\/kannanir-kanna%c3%b0ar\/","title":{"rendered":"Kannanir kanna\u00f0ar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Undanfari\u00f0 hafa birst nokkrar kannanir \u00e1 fylgi stj\u00f3rnm\u00e1laflokkanna \u00ed\u00ad bl\u00f6\u00f0unum. \u00deessar kannanir hafa veri\u00f0 mj\u00f6g misv\u00ed\u00adsandi og \u00fea\u00f0 sem er mest sl\u00e1andi \u00ed\u00ad \u00feeim er l\u00ed\u00adklega afar h\u00e1tt hlutfall \u00f3\u00e1kve\u00f0inna annars vegar og hins vegar hva\u00f0 fylgi flokkanna sveiflast miki\u00f0. \u00dea\u00f0 er helst a\u00f0 VG s\u00e9 \u00e1 svipu\u00f0um sl\u00f3\u00f0um \u00ed\u00ad \u00feeim \u00f6llum en \u00fe\u00f3 minnir mig a\u00f0 fylgi\u00f0 hafi veri\u00f0 \u00e1 milli 19 og 25% \u00ed\u00ad \u00feeim. \u00c9g hef hinga\u00f0 til ekki veri\u00f0 mj\u00f6g n\u00e1kv\u00e6mur \u00ed\u00ad p\u00f3lit\u00ed\u00adskum sp\u00e1m en mig langar samt a\u00f0 velta \u00fev\u00ed\u00ad fyrir m\u00e9r hva\u00f0 \u00feetta g\u00e6ti \u00fe\u00fdtt fyrir einstaka stj\u00f3rnm\u00e1laflokka.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Sj\u00e1lfst\u00e6\u00f0isflokkurinn<\/strong> hefur hinga\u00f0 til haft \u00fea\u00f0 or\u00f0 \u00e1 s\u00e9r a\u00f0 m\u00e6last h\u00e6rri \u00ed\u00ad sko\u00f0anak\u00f6nnunum en kosningum. Sj\u00e1lfst\u00e6\u00f0ismenn vir\u00f0ast gera upp hug sinn fyrr en a\u00f0rir og vera rei\u00f0ub\u00fanari til a\u00f0 gefa sig upp \u00ed\u00ad sko\u00f0anak\u00f6nnunum. \u00dea\u00f0 kom m\u00e9r \u00fev\u00ed\u00ad ekki \u00e1 \u00f3vart a\u00f0 hann m\u00e6ldist me\u00f0 45% fylgi \u00ed\u00ad k\u00f6nnun \u00fear sem \u00f3\u00e1kve\u00f0nir voru t\u00e6p 40% en \u00feegar hann m\u00e6list me\u00f0 innan vi\u00f0 40% fylgi \u00ed\u00ad k\u00f6nnun \u00fear sem r\u00fam 40% eru \u00f3\u00e1kve\u00f0in e\u00f0a neita a\u00f0 svara hl\u00fdtur a\u00f0 teljast mj\u00f6g sl\u00e6mt fyrir flokkinn. Me\u00f0 \u00feessu \u00e1framhaldi l\u00ed\u00adtur \u00fat fyrir svipa\u00f0a \u00fatrei\u00f0 hj\u00e1 flokknum og \u00ed\u00ad s\u00ed\u00ad\u00f0ustu kosningum (varla verri \u00fe\u00f3).<\/p>\n<p><strong>Frams\u00f3knarflokkurinn<\/strong> f\u00e6r hins vegar i\u00f0ulega betri kosningu en sko\u00f0anakannanir gefa tilefni til a\u00f0 \u00e6tla. Samt hl\u00fdtur fylgi innan vi\u00f0 4% a\u00f0 teljast mj\u00f6g sl\u00e6mt. Frams\u00f3knarmenn vir\u00f0ast hins vegar vera feimnastir til a\u00f0 gefa sig upp og kj\u00f3sendur \u00feeirra \u00f3\u00e1kve\u00f0nastir allt fram undir kj\u00f6rdag. \u00dea\u00f0 er \u00fev\u00ed\u00ad fr\u00e1leitt a\u00f0 \u00e6tla a\u00f0 Frams\u00f3kn f\u00e1i \u00feessa \u00fatrei\u00f0 \u00ed\u00ad kosningum enda hefur h\u00fan \u00e1vallt veri\u00f0 mj\u00f6g sterk \u00ed\u00ad kosningabar\u00e1ttunni. \u00c9g held samt a\u00f0 ekkert bjargi flokknum fr\u00e1 \u00fev\u00ed\u00ad a\u00f0 missa t\u00f6luvert fylgi fr\u00e1 s\u00ed\u00ad\u00f0ustu kosningum.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Samfylkingin<\/strong> hefur sveiflast \u00f3tr\u00falega til \u00ed\u00ad \u00feessum k\u00f6nnunum en samt vil \u00e9g vera svo djarfur a\u00f0 halda \u00fev\u00ed\u00ad fram a\u00f0 fylgi\u00f0 hafi e.t.v. ekki breyst neitt a\u00f0 marki \u00e1 milli \u00feeirra. Heldur frekar a\u00f0 kj\u00f3sendur hennar s\u00e9u frekar a\u00f0 gefa sig upp n\u00fa en \u00e1\u00f0ur. M\u00e9r s\u00fdnist l\u00ed\u00adka a\u00f0 bloggi\u00f0 s\u00e9 a\u00f0 ver\u00f0a mikilv\u00e6gari mi\u00f0ill \u00ed\u00ad kosningabar\u00e1ttunni en \u00e1\u00f0ur og \u00fear s\u00fdnist m\u00e9r Samfylkingin hafa verulega g\u00f3\u00f0a st\u00f6\u00f0u. \u00de.e. mj\u00f6g margt Samfylkingarf\u00f3lk er a\u00f0 blogga og \u00feau blogg f\u00e1 mikla sv\u00f6run. \u00dear a\u00f0 auki tel \u00e9g a\u00f0 flokkurinn eigi enn miki\u00f0 af \u00f3\u00e1kve\u00f0na fylginu.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Frj\u00e1lslyndir<\/strong> vir\u00f0ast missa flugi\u00f0 milli kannanna en eins og me\u00f0 Samfylkinguna tel \u00e9g varlegt a\u00f0 tr\u00faa \u00fev\u00ed\u00ad. Frj\u00e1lslyndir hafa fengi\u00f0 mj\u00f6g \u00f3v\u00e6gna (kannski ekki \u00f3sanngjarna samt) umfj\u00f6llun upp \u00e1 s\u00ed\u00ad\u00f0kasti\u00f0. \u00deeir h\u00f6f\u00f0a til frekar l\u00e1gra hvata hj\u00e1 mannskepnunni og reynslan s\u00fdnir a\u00f0 \u00fe\u00f3tt enginn vilji vi\u00f0urkenna a\u00f0 hafa \u00feessar sko\u00f0anir (e\u00f0a ford\u00f3ma ef vi\u00f0 viljum frekar nota \u00fea\u00f0 or\u00f0) \u00fe\u00e1 eru \u00fe\u00e6r v\u00ed\u00ad\u00f0a. \u00c9g held \u00fev\u00ed\u00ad a\u00f0 Frj\u00e1lslyndir eigi eftir a\u00f0 f\u00e1 meira fylgi \u00ed\u00ad kosningunum en sko\u00f0anakannanir koma til me\u00f0 a\u00f0 s\u00fdna.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Vinstri hreyfingin gr\u00e6nt frambo\u00f0<\/strong> hefur veri\u00f0 a\u00f0 s\u00e6kja st\u00f6\u00f0ugt \u00ed\u00ad sig ve\u00f0ri\u00f0 og hefur l\u00ed\u00adklega \u00fe\u00e1 \u00ed\u00admynd a\u00f0 vera hva\u00f0 stefnufastastur stj\u00f3rnm\u00e1laflokka \u00e1 \u00cdslandi. \u00dea\u00f0 g\u00e6ti reyndar einnig \u00fe\u00fdtt a\u00f0 kj\u00f3sendur VG s\u00e9u l\u00ed\u00adklegir til a\u00f0 hafa \u00e1kve\u00f0i\u00f0 sig n\u00fa \u00feegar en umhverfisverndarsinnar sem ekki falla a\u00f0rar \u00e1herslur VG s\u00e9u tv\u00ed\u00adst\u00ed\u00adgandi. \u00dea\u00f0 er fylgi sem Samfylkingin er e.t.v. a\u00f0 s\u00e6kja \u00feessa dagana. \u00c9g tel \u00fev\u00ed\u00ad l\u00ed\u00adklegt a\u00f0 VG f\u00e1i lakari (og jafnvel mun lakari) \u00fatkomu \u00ed\u00ad kosningum en \u00feessar kannanir gefa \u00ed\u00ad skyn.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c9g \u00e6tla \u00fev\u00ed\u00ad a\u00f0 varpa fram sp\u00e1 svona \u00ed\u00ad lokin:<br \/>\nSj\u00e1lfst\u00e6\u00f0isflokkur 34%<br \/>\nFrams\u00f3knarflokkur 9%<br \/>\nSamfylkingin 31%<br \/>\nFrj\u00e1lslyndir 9%<br \/>\nVinstri-gr\u00e6nir 17%<br \/>\n(Ver\u00f0i \u00feetta \u00farslitin &#8211; e\u00f0a n\u00e1l\u00e6gt \u00feeim &#8211; g\u00e6tu stj\u00f3rnarmyndunarvi\u00f0r\u00e6\u00f0ur or\u00f0i\u00f0 mj\u00f6g erfi\u00f0ar).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Undanfari\u00f0 hafa birst nokkrar kannanir \u00e1 fylgi stj\u00f3rnm\u00e1laflokkanna \u00ed\u00ad bl\u00f6\u00f0unum. \u00deessar kannanir hafa veri\u00f0 mj\u00f6g misv\u00ed\u00adsandi og \u00fea\u00f0 sem er mest sl\u00e1andi \u00ed\u00ad \u00feeim er l\u00ed\u00adklega afar h\u00e1tt hlutfall \u00f3\u00e1kve\u00f0inna annars vegar og hins vegar hva\u00f0 fylgi flokkanna sveiflast miki\u00f0. \u00dea\u00f0 er helst a\u00f0 VG s\u00e9 \u00e1 svipu\u00f0um sl\u00f3\u00f0um \u00ed\u00ad \u00feeim \u00f6llum en \u00fe\u00f3 minnir [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-487","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politik-innanlands"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/daniel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/487","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/daniel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/daniel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/daniel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/daniel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=487"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/daniel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/487\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/daniel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=487"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/daniel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=487"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/daniel\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=487"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}