{"id":41,"date":"2020-05-25T10:49:45","date_gmt":"2020-05-25T10:49:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/ingenting\/?p=41"},"modified":"2020-05-25T11:16:36","modified_gmt":"2020-05-25T11:16:36","slug":"kina-vs-usa-thegar-klukkuna-vantar-hundrad-sekundur-i-midnaetti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/ingenting\/2020\/05\/25\/kina-vs-usa-thegar-klukkuna-vantar-hundrad-sekundur-i-midnaetti\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u00edna vs. USA \u2013 \u00feegar klukkuna vantar hundra\u00f0 sek\u00fandur \u00ed mi\u00f0n\u00e6tti"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">Bandar\u00edkin voru semsagt a\u00f0 draga sig \u00fat\u00far <em>Open Skies<\/em> samningnum (OST). Eftir a\u00f0 hafa dregi\u00f0 sig \u00fat\u00far kjarnorkusamningnum vi\u00f0 \u00cdran, og <span style=\"color: #1c1e21\"><i>Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces<\/i><\/span> <span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">samningnum. <\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">\u00c1samt \u00fev\u00ed a\u00f0<\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\"> Trump stj\u00f3rnin hefur l\u00fdst yfir a\u00f0 vilja <\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">til a\u00f0 <\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">endurn\u00fdja <\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">ekki<\/span> <span style=\"color: #1c1e21\"><i>New Start <\/i><\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">samninginn \u2013 sem rennur \u00fat n\u00e6sta febr\u00faar. Og eru alvarlega a\u00f0 velta fyrir s\u00e9r a\u00f0 byrja \u00e1 prufunum \u00e1 kjarnorkusprengjum aftur samkv\u00e6mt n\u00fdjust fr\u00e9ttum.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">Fyrir nokkrum vikum sigldu bandar\u00edsk herskip inn\u00ed Su\u00f0ur-K\u00ednahaf, \u00ed me\u00f0vita\u00f0ri \u00f6grun <\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">vi\u00f0 K\u00edna<\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\"> sem varla var greint fr\u00e1 fr\u00e9ttum. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">Fyrir nokkrum m\u00e1nu\u00f0um tilkynnti R\u00fassland a\u00f0 \u00fea\u00f0 hafi \u00fer\u00f3a\u00f0 kjarnorkueldflaugar sem eru f\u00e6rar um a\u00f0 komast \u00ed gegnum eldflaugavarnakerfi (e\u00f0a <\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\"><i>missile shield<\/i><\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">) Bandar\u00edkjanna. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">Hin fr\u00e6ga d\u00f3msdagsklukka, sem haldi\u00f0 er \u00fati af <\/span><\/span><\/span><em><span style=\"color: #212529\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/em><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"> stendur n\u00fa hundra\u00f0 sek\u00fandur \u00ed mi\u00f0n\u00e6tti \u2013 \u00fea\u00f0 lengsta sem h\u00fan hefur nokkurn t\u00edmann komist. Eitthva\u00f0 sem vakti einnig h\u00e9r um bil enga athygli. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">\u00c1samt \u00feessu endalausa \u00e1r\u00f3\u00f0ursstr\u00ed\u00f0i au\u00f0vita\u00f0 \u2013 \u00fear sem Bandar\u00edkin eru a\u00f0 reyna a\u00f0 kenna K\u00edna um v\u00edrusinn. Sem er athyglisvert af tveimur \u00e1st\u00e6\u00f0um: 1) Sp\u00e6nska veikin \u00e1tti a\u00f0 \u00f6llum l\u00edkindum uppt\u00f6k s\u00edn \u00e1 bandar\u00edskri herst\u00f6\u00f0, er n\u00e1nast samm\u00e6lst um \u00fea\u00f0 af s\u00e9rfr\u00e6\u00f0ingum a.m.k., \u00fe\u00f3tt \u00fea\u00f0 s\u00e9 ekki vita\u00f0 me\u00f0 hundra\u00f0 pr\u00f3sent vissu. 2) K\u00edna er fj\u00f6lmennasta land \u00ed heimi, svo \u00fatfr\u00e1 einf\u00f6ldum l\u00edkindareikningi, \u00fe\u00e1 v\u00e6ri au\u00f0vita\u00f0 l\u00edklegast a\u00f0 sl\u00edkur v\u00edrus k\u00e6mi upp \u00fear. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">En \u00e9<\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">g er \u00ed sannleika sagt fullkomlega g\u00e1tta\u00f0ur \u00e1 \u00e1hugaleysi almennings \u00e1 \u00feessu \u2013 jafnvel mikilv\u00e6gasta m\u00e1lefni sem er \u00ed gangi \u00ed dag, eins og au\u00f0veldlega v\u00e6ri h\u00e6gt a\u00f0 f\u00e6ra r\u00f6k fyrir. Sem er samt au\u00f0vita\u00f0 ekkert skr\u00fdti\u00f0 \u00feegar fj\u00f6lmi\u00f0lar s\u00fdna \u00feessu varla neinn \u00e1huga, og setja hlutina ekki \u00ed neitt samhengi, <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">Hef \u00fe\u00f3 ekki t\u00edma til a\u00f0 skrifa <\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">neina <\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">n\u00e1kv\u00e6ma<\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">ri<\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\"> anal\u00fdsu, en \u00e9g skrifa\u00f0i \u00fe\u00f3 \u00feetta fyrir nokkru <\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">\u00e1 FB<\/span><span style=\"color: #1c1e21\">, sem \u00e9g endurbirti bara h\u00e9r.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">Nokkur lausleg atri\u00f0i sem \u00e9g t\u00f3k saman og myndi telja skipta m\u00e1li, e\u00f0a vera a\u00f0alatri\u00f0i, en sjaldnast er minnst \u00e1 e\u00f0a sett \u00ed n\u00e6gilegt samheng a\u00f0 m\u00ednu mati:<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">* Ef vi\u00f0 byrjum bara \u00e1 \u00fev\u00ed a\u00f0 K\u00edna s\u00e9 komm\u00fanistar\u00edki: \u00fer\u00e1tt fyrir a\u00f0 K\u00edna s\u00e9 vissulega stj\u00f3rna\u00f0 af sama Komm\u00fanistaflokki og komst til valda \u00ed langst\u00e6rstu s\u00f3s\u00edal\u00edsku byltingu mannkynss\u00f6gunnar &#8211; flokkur sem sver enn hli\u00f0hollustu vi\u00f0 Marx og Len\u00edn og arflei\u00f0 \u00feeirra &#8211; \u00fe\u00e1 eru \u00fdmis \u00f6nnur atri\u00f0i sem \u00fearf a\u00f0 hafa \u00ed huga:<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">* Hagv\u00f6xturinn \u00ed K\u00edna fr\u00e1 l\u00edberaliseringu (e\u00f0a n\u00fdfrj\u00e1lshyggjuv\u00e6\u00f0ingu) Deng Xiaoping \u00ed lok 8. \u00e1ratugarins til \u00ed dag er ekki bara einsd\u00e6mi \u00ed mannkynss\u00f6gunni, hann er \u00e1 \u00f3l\u00fdsanlegum skala. Heimsbankinn \u00e1\u00e6tla\u00f0i a\u00f0 um 850 millj\u00f3nir manns lif\u00f0u vi\u00f0 fullkomna \u00f6rbirg\u00f0 1980. \u00c1ri\u00f0 2014 var talan komin ni\u00f0ur \u00ed 40 millj\u00f3nir. Stefna \u00feeirra er a\u00f0 h\u00fan ver\u00f0i komin \u00ed n\u00fall 2022.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">* Fj\u00f3rir st\u00e6rstu bankar heims eru k\u00ednverskir. J.P. Morgan kemur \u00ed fimmta e\u00f0a sj\u00f6tta s\u00e6ti (s\u00ed\u00f0ast \u00feegar \u00e9g g\u00e1\u00f0i).<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">* K\u00ednverska hagkerfi\u00f0 r\u00e6\u00f0st af allt \u00f6\u00f0ru en einhverri \u00feunglamalegri mi\u00f0st\u00fdringu &#8211; sem er au\u00f0vita\u00f0 fantas\u00eda frj\u00e1lshygjumanna um komm\u00fanistar\u00edki. \u00dea\u00f0 er gr\u00ed\u00f0arlega d\u00fdnam\u00edskt, og fl\u00f3ki\u00f0 au\u00f0vita\u00f0, me\u00f0 v\u00edxlverkun mi\u00f0st\u00fdringar og afmi\u00f0st\u00fdringar \u00fear sem sum sv\u00e6\u00f0i opnast og eru \u00ed samkeppni \u00e1 me\u00f0an \u00f6nnur eru loku\u00f0 og verndu\u00f0 &#8211; allt er hinsvegar vandlega yfirs\u00e9\u00f0 og vari\u00f0 ef \u00feess \u00fearf af r\u00edkinu. \u00deetta er v\u00e9l sem er mun betur smur\u00f0 og keyrir miklu betur en \u00fea\u00f0 sem dysfunctional stj\u00f3rnir Vestursins \u00ed dag geta st\u00e1ta\u00f0 af &#8211; samanbur\u00f0urinn er raunar bara hl\u00e6gilegur.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">* \u00cd K\u00edna er \u00fea\u00f0 r\u00edki\u00f0 sem skipar b\u00f6nkum fyrir, frekar en \u00f6fugt eins og vi\u00f0 eigum a\u00f0 venjast \u00ed Vestrinu. \u00deetta ger\u00f0i K\u00edna kleift a\u00f0 komast upp\u00far kr\u00edsunni 2008 \u00e1 einhvern mest spectacular h\u00e1tt sem s\u00e9st hefur. B\u00f6nkunum var skipa\u00f0 a\u00f0 l\u00e1na eins miki\u00f0 og \u00feess var \u00fe\u00f6rf, fleiri tugir millj\u00f3na sem misstu vinnuna vegna hruns marka\u00f0a \u00ed Bandar\u00edkjunum voru r\u00e1\u00f0nir aftur n\u00e1nast yfir n\u00f3tt og r\u00e1\u00f0ist var \u00ed innvi\u00f0auppbyggingu sem er svo g\u00edgant\u00edsk a\u00f0 varla er h\u00e6gt a\u00f0 n\u00e1 huganum utan um \u00fea\u00f0. \u00c1 \u00e1runum 2009-2012 nota\u00f0i K\u00edna meiri sement en Bandar\u00edkin \u00e1 allri 20.\u00f6ld til d\u00e6mis.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">* \u00deessi gr\u00ed\u00f0arlega uppbygging &#8211; sem kraf\u00f0ist au\u00f0vita\u00f0 gr\u00ed\u00f0arlegs innflutnings &#8211; h\u00e9lt uppi heimshagkerfinu \u00ed kj\u00f6lfar kr\u00edsunnar.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">* Fj\u00f6gur af t\u00edu st\u00e6rstu t\u00e6knifyrirt\u00e6kjum heims eru k\u00ednversk. Og \u00fer\u00e1tt fyrir alla \u00feessa abs\u00fard Silicon Valley celebrity-, ef ekki bara einhver Gu\u00f0ad\u00fdrkun, l\u00edtur allt \u00fat fyrir a\u00f0 K\u00edna s\u00e9 \u00e1 lei\u00f0inni a\u00f0 taka t\u00e6knigeirann yfir. S\u00e9rstaklega \u00fear sem \u00feeir voru fyrstir til a\u00f0 \u00e1tta sig \u00e1 mikilv\u00e6gi A.I., f\u00f3ru in the game \u00e1 undan \u00f6llum \u00f6\u00f0rum, og eru a\u00f0 fara a\u00f0 lei\u00f0a \u00fear.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">H\u00e9r er l\u00fdsing \u00far n\u00fdlegri b\u00f3k um t\u00e6knigeirann \u00ed K\u00edna:<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\">\u201c<span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">Silicon Valley&#8217;s entrepreneurs have earned a reputation as some of the hardest-working in America: passionate young founders who pull all-nighters in a mad dash to get a product out and then obsessively iterate that product, while seeking out the next big thing. Entrepreneurs there do indeed work hard, but I&#8217;ve spent decades deeply embedded in both Silicon Valley and China&#8217;s tech scene, working at Apple, Microsoft, &amp; Google before incubating and investing in dozens of Chinese startups. I can tell you that Silicon Valley looks downright sluggish compared to its competitor across the Pacific. China&#8217;s successful internet entrepreneurs have risen to where they are by conquering the most cutthroat competitive environment on the planet. They live in a world where speed is essential, copying is an accepted practice, and competitors will stop at nothing to win a new market. Every day spent in China&#8217;s startup scene is a trial by fire, like a day spent as a gladiator in the Colosseum. The battles are life or death, and your opponents have no scruples.\u201d<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">* Samkv\u00e6mt hef\u00f0bundnum m\u00e6likv\u00f6r\u00f0um, GDP e\u00f0a vergri landsframlei\u00f0slu, \u00fe\u00e1 er K\u00edna anna\u00f0 st\u00e6rsta hagkerfi heims \u00e1 eftir Bandar\u00edkjunum. En ef byggt er \u00e1 kaupm\u00e1ttarj\u00f6fnu\u00f0i, \u00fe\u00e1 er \u00fea\u00f0 \u00feegar or\u00f0i\u00f0 st\u00e6rst.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">* Bandar\u00edkin eru fyrsta heimsveldi mannkynss\u00f6gunnar sem n\u00e1\u00f0 hefur \u00f3skoru\u00f0um yfirr\u00e1\u00f0um yfir heimsh\u00f6funum. \u00deetta &#8222;<em>colossal imperium on an unprecedented scale<\/em>&#8220; byggist \u00e1 stj\u00f3rn yfir tveimur &#8222;<em>strategic axial points<\/em>&#8220; me\u00f0 or\u00f0um sagnfr\u00e6\u00f0ingsins John Darwin vi\u00f0 sitthvorn enda Evras\u00edu. Bandar\u00edkin trygg\u00f0u \u00feetta me\u00f0 NATO samstarfinu \u00ed Vestrinu, og fj\u00f3rum varnarsamningum vi\u00f0 Japan, Filippseyjar, Su\u00f0ur-K\u00f3reu og \u00c1stral\u00edu \u00ed Austrinu. Snemma \u00ed Kalda str\u00ed\u00f0inu semsagt, \u00feegar K\u00edna var eitthva\u00f0 algj\u00f6rt backwater sem l\u00edti\u00f0 sem ekkert geo-p\u00f3lit\u00edskt tillit \u00feurfti a\u00f0 taka til.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u00cd dag er sta\u00f0an ekki bara allt \u00f6nnur, K\u00edna er b\u00fai\u00f0 a\u00f0 vera a\u00f0 spila langa, vel plana\u00f0a og \u00fathugsa\u00f0a strateg\u00edu \u00fear sem enda takmarki\u00f0 er a\u00f0 sl\u00e1 \u00feetta axial point \u00ed austrinu \u00far h\u00f6ndunum \u00e1 \u00feeim &#8211; sem myndi kippa einhverja langmikilv\u00e6gustu sto\u00f0 heimsveldis \u00feeirra undan \u00feeim. \u00dea\u00f0 er semsagt \u00feetta sem spennan \u00ed Su\u00f0ur-K\u00ednahafi sn\u00fdst um, og er ekkert sem byrja\u00f0i me\u00f0 Trump stj\u00f3rninni og e\u00f0a h\u00fan byrja\u00f0i \u00e1 upp\u00far \u00feurru (\u00fea\u00f0 er \u00feetta sem Bannon var a\u00f0 tala um \u00feegar hann l\u00fdsti yfir, eins og fr\u00e6gt er, a\u00f0 Bandar\u00edkin v\u00e6ru \u00e1 lei\u00f0 \u00ed str\u00ed\u00f0 vi\u00f0 K\u00edna innan t\u00edu \u00e1ra). \u00dea\u00f0 var Obama sem kom me\u00f0 n\u00fdja utanr\u00edkisstefnu sem hann kalla\u00f0i <em>pivot to Asia<\/em>. \u00dea\u00f0 var a\u00f0 undirlagi yfirmanna hersins, til a\u00f0 countera \u00feessa strateg\u00edu hj\u00e1 K\u00edna. Sem \u00feeir voru samt mj\u00f6g seinir a\u00f0 \u00e1tta sig \u00e1.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">* Kap\u00edtalistar voru au\u00f0vita\u00f0 mj\u00f6g hrifnir af \u00f3d\u00fdra vinnuaflinu sem K\u00edna bau\u00f0 \u00feeim &#8211; \u00ed \u00feeim tilgangi a\u00f0 byggja upp hagkerfi sitt. \u00dev\u00ed hafa \u00feeir \u00e1vallt neita\u00f0 a\u00f0 fylgja efnahagslegum forskriftum <em>The Washington Consensus<\/em> &#8211; hafandi fylgst me\u00f0 kr\u00edsu as\u00edsku t\u00edgrana 1997 og hvernig f\u00f3r fyrir \u00feeim. En s\u00fa kr\u00edsa var beinl\u00ednis b\u00fain til af Vestr\u00e6num fj\u00e1rm\u00e1lastofnunum og Bandar\u00edkjunum \u00ed \u00feeim tilgangi a\u00f0 l\u00e1ta greipar s\u00f3pa um eignir \u00feeirra. A\u00f0 \u00feeir geti ekki gert \u00fea\u00f0 sama vi\u00f0 K\u00edna gerir \u00fe\u00e1 au\u00f0vita\u00f0 brj\u00e1la\u00f0a.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">K\u00edna b\u00fd\u00f0ur au\u00f0vita\u00f0 enn upp\u00e1 \u00f3d\u00fdrari vinnuafl en \u00e1 Vesturl\u00f6ndum (sj\u00e1 n\u00fdlega <em>Foxconn<\/em> skandalinn: sk\u00f3lab\u00f6rn eru \u00fer\u00e6lku\u00f0 \u00fat \u00e1 einhverjum s\u00f3larhringsv\u00f6ktum, allt \u00ed bo\u00f0i Jeff Bezos og Amazon). Margir kap\u00edtalistar hafa \u00fe\u00f3 hugsa\u00f0 s\u00e9r enn betur til gl\u00f3\u00f0arinnar og flutt starfsemina fr\u00e1 K\u00edna til landa eins og Bangladesh sem bj\u00f3\u00f0a \u00feeim enn meiri eymd og \u00fej\u00e1ningu.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">En K\u00edna \u00ed dag er or\u00f0i\u00f0 a\u00f0 allt \u00f6\u00f0ru fyrirb\u00e6ri en Vestri\u00f0 n\u00fdtti s\u00e9r \u00ed hnattv\u00e6\u00f0ingu 9. og 10. \u00e1ratugarins. Er ekki bara or\u00f0i\u00f0 rival heimsveldi: K\u00edna er a\u00f0 outplaya og outperforma Bandar\u00edkin \u00e1 basically alla upp\u00e1halds m\u00e6likvar\u00f0a ne\u00f3klass\u00edkra hagfr\u00e6\u00f0inga. Og Bandar\u00edkin s\u00e6tta sig ekki vi\u00f0 neitt minna en full spectrum d\u00f3mineringu &#8211; \u00feau hafa steypt heilu l\u00f6ndunum \u00ed r\u00fast me\u00f0 tilheyrandi bl\u00f3\u00f0ba\u00f0i vegna minnstu \u00f6grunar e\u00f0a \u00f3hl\u00fd\u00f0ni.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">* K\u00edna hefur au\u00f0vita\u00f0 ekki s\u00edst \u00fea\u00f0 fram yfir Bandar\u00edkin a\u00f0 \u00fea\u00f0 er f\u00e6rt um langt\u00edma strateg\u00edur, a\u00f0 spila <em>the long game<\/em>. Fj\u00e1rm\u00e1lav\u00e6ddi kap\u00edtalisminn \u00ed Bandar\u00edkjunum er l\u00f6ngu farinn a\u00f0 cannabalizea sj\u00e1lfan sig, fullkomlega \u00f3kleift a\u00f0 hugsa um anna\u00f0 e\u00f0a lengra en hagna\u00f0 n\u00e6sta \u00e1rsfj\u00f3r\u00f0ungs &#8211; sem hann \u00e9tur eigin undirst\u00f6\u00f0ur til a\u00f0 halda uppi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">* \u00der\u00f3unin og breytingarnar \u00ed K\u00edna eru gr\u00ed\u00f0arlega hra\u00f0ar, svo \u00fea\u00f0 er engin lei\u00f0 a\u00f0 vita hva\u00f0 n\u00e1kv\u00e6mlega er a\u00f0 gerast \u00ed rauninni, hva\u00f0 \u00fe\u00e1 hvert \u00feetta stefnir.<br \/>\nEn mi\u00f0a\u00f0 vi\u00f0 \u00fea\u00f0 sem vi\u00f0 vitum \u00fe\u00f3, \u00fe\u00e1 l\u00edtur flest \u00fat fyrir a\u00f0 \u00ed K\u00edna s\u00e9 a\u00f0 finna n\u00fdjustu umbreytingu og \u00fear me\u00f0 framt\u00ed\u00f0 kap\u00edtalismans.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"color: #1d2129\"><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">* Eftir stendur \u00fe\u00f3 au\u00f0vita\u00f0 a\u00f0 Bandar\u00edkin hafa langst\u00e6rsta og \u00f6flugasta herinn, \u00fea\u00f0 er \u00fea\u00f0 eina sem K\u00ednverjar geta engan veginn keppt vi\u00f0 \u00fe\u00e1 \u00ed. A.m.k. ekki n\u00e6stu t\u00edu-tuttugu \u00e1rin. Og ekkert vi\u00f0 bl\u00f3\u00f0uga s\u00f6gu herna\u00f0ar\u00edhlutuna og str\u00ed\u00f0sreksturs Bandar\u00edkjanna, n\u00e9 ret\u00f3r\u00edk \u00feeirra og efnahagsa\u00f0ger\u00f0ir gagnvart K\u00edna sem er \u00ed gangi akk\u00farat n\u00fana og escalatear st\u00f6\u00f0ugt og hratt, gefur til kynna a\u00f0 \u00feeir hafi \u00ed hyggju a\u00f0 r\u00falla s\u00e9r bara yfir \u00e1 hli\u00f0ina og sam\u00feykkja fri\u00f0samlega a\u00f0 vera velt af stalli sem d\u00f3minerandi heimsveldi. \u00deau v\u00f6rpu\u00f0u kjarnorkusprengjum \u00ed str\u00ed\u00f0i \u00e1\u00f0ur, og \u00fea\u00f0 var einungis til a\u00f0 hnykla v\u00f6\u00f0vana og s\u00fdna sig. \u00c9g er a.m.k. ekki bjarts\u00fdnn \u00e1 einhver yfirvegu\u00f0 skynsemis vi\u00f0br\u00f6g\u00f0 \u00feegar sta\u00f0a, v\u00f6ld og \u00e1hrif \u00feeirra fer loks a\u00f0 standa frammi fyrir terminal \u00f3gn &#8211; sta\u00f0a sem Bandar\u00edska heimsveldi\u00f0 hefur au\u00f0vita\u00f0 aldrei fundi\u00f0 sig \u00ed \u00e1\u00f0ur. Og er n\u00e1kv\u00e6mlega \u00fea\u00f0 sem er a\u00f0 eiga s\u00e9r sta\u00f0 n\u00fana.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u00dea\u00f0 er semsagt meira og meira veri\u00f0 a\u00f0 taka hanskana af \u00ed deilu sem a\u00f0 \u00f6llum l\u00edkindum myndi marka endalok si\u00f0menningarinnar \u2013 a.m.k. samkv\u00e6mt \u00e1\u00e6tlunum v\u00edsindamanna \u00e1 takm\u00f6rku\u00f0u (e. <i>limited<\/i>) kjarnorkustr\u00ed\u00f0i. M\u00f3deli\u00f0 \u00fear var str\u00ed\u00f0 milli Indlands og Pakistan, \u00fear sem 50-100 standard kjarnorkuvopn, \u00fe.e. ekki vetnissprengjur (e. <i>thermonuclear weapons<\/i>) eins og Bandar\u00edkin og K\u00edna b\u00faa yfir voru notu\u00f0. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">Ni\u00f0ursta\u00f0an var mannfall \u00e1 bilinu \u00fer\u00edr milljar\u00f0ar til allt mannkyni\u00f0.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Liberation Serif, serif\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">(<em>Myndin er af fyrstu vetnissprengjunni sem sprengd var. Var gefi\u00f0 code-namei\u00f0 Ivy Mike og var sprengd 1. n\u00f3vember, 1952 af Bandar\u00edkjunum \u00e1 Marshall eyjum.<\/em>)<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bandar\u00edkin voru semsagt a\u00f0 draga sig \u00fat\u00far Open Skies samningnum (OST). Eftir a\u00f0 hafa dregi\u00f0 sig \u00fat\u00far kjarnorkusamningnum vi\u00f0 \u00cdran, og Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces samningnum. \u00c1samt \u00fev\u00ed a\u00f0 Trump stj\u00f3rnin hefur l\u00fdst yfir a\u00f0 vilja til a\u00f0 endurn\u00fdja ekki New Start samninginn \u2013 sem rennur \u00fat n\u00e6sta febr\u00faar. Og eru alvarlega a\u00f0 velta fyrir s\u00e9r [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":43,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-domsdagur"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/ingenting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/ingenting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/ingenting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/ingenting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/ingenting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/ingenting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":47,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/ingenting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41\/revisions\/47"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/ingenting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/ingenting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/ingenting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/ingenting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}