{"id":819,"date":"2004-11-23T09:37:52","date_gmt":"2004-11-23T09:37:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/192.168.1.4\/stefan\/2004\/11\/23\/utgonguspar\/"},"modified":"2004-11-23T09:37:52","modified_gmt":"2004-11-23T09:37:52","slug":"utgonguspar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/stefan\/2004\/11\/23\/utgonguspar\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00datg\u00f6ngusp\u00e1r"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00c1 vefritinu Deiglunni ritar Pawel Bartoszek grein um kosningarnar \u00ed\u00ad \u00dakra\u00ed\u00adnu<\/a>. Sem hans er von og v\u00ed\u00adsa, er greinin \u00e1 st\u00e6r\u00f0fr\u00e6\u00f0ilegum n\u00f3tum. Ni\u00f0ursta\u00f0a Pawels er sk\u00fdr:<\/p>\n

\u00datg\u00f6ngusp\u00e1 sem ger\u00f0 var \u00e1 yfir 30.000 manna \u00fartaki s\u00fdndi a\u00f0 J\u00fast\u00e9nko var me\u00f0 54% atkv\u00e6\u00f0a en Jan\u00fak\u00e9vits a\u00f0eins 43%. \u00c1 \u00feeirri k\u00f6nnun var f\u00f3lk be\u00f0i\u00f0 um a\u00f0 krossa vi\u00f0 \u00e1 ey\u00f0ubla\u00f0i og setja \u00ed\u00ad kj\u00f6rkassa. \u00d6nnur k\u00f6nnun sem bygg\u00f0 var \u00e1 vi\u00f0t\u00f6lum s\u00fdndi J\u00fast\u00e9nko me\u00f0 4% forskot. En \u00feegar „tali\u00f0“ haf\u00f0i veri\u00f0 upp \u00far k\u00f6ssunum vildi a\u00f0alkj\u00f6rstj\u00f3rn meina a\u00f0 Jan\u00fakovits haf\u00f0i unni\u00f0 me\u00f0 49% gegn 47%. <\/p>\n

30.000 manna \u00fartak er eiginlega \u00f6ruggt t\u00f6lfr\u00e6\u00f0ilega s\u00e9\u00f0. Skekkjum\u00f6rk mi\u00f0a\u00f0 vi\u00f0 99% vissu eru um minni en 1%. \u00deetta \u00fe\u00fd\u00f0ir a\u00f0 l\u00fdkurnar \u00e1 \u00fev\u00ed\u00ad a\u00f0 fylgi J\u00fast\u00e9nkos hafi veri\u00f0 \u00e1 bilinu 53%-55% eru yfir 99%. \u00c1 Bandar\u00ed\u00adkjunum notast menn vi\u00f0 \u00fart\u00f6k \u00e1 bilinu 2 til 3 \u00fe\u00fasund \u00ed\u00ad hverju fylki. Sl\u00ed\u00adkar \u00fatg\u00f6ngusp\u00e1r hafa hinga\u00f0 til reynst mj\u00f6g vel. Vissulega getur muna\u00f0 h\u00e1lfu pr\u00f3senti en sl\u00ed\u00adk tugpr\u00f3sentasveifla, sem vi\u00f0 s\u00e1um h\u00e9r er \u00fatiloku\u00f0. Hva\u00f0 \u00fe\u00e1 a\u00f0 h\u00fan eigi s\u00e9r sta\u00f0 tvisvar \u00ed\u00ad r\u00f6\u00f0! Sama var nefnilega upp \u00ed\u00ad teningnum fyrir 3 vikum, \u00ed\u00ad fyrri umfer\u00f0 kosninganna. \u00datg\u00f6ngusp\u00e1r s\u00fdndu 8% forskot J\u00fast\u00e9nkos en ni\u00f0ursta\u00f0an var s\u00fa a\u00f0 frambj\u00f3\u00f0endur ur\u00f0u n\u00e6stum hn\u00ed\u00adfjafnir. <\/i><\/p>\n

Me\u00f0 \u00f6\u00f0rum or\u00f0um – eru \u00fatg\u00f6ngusp\u00e1r svo t\u00f6lfr\u00e6\u00f0ilega pott\u00fe\u00e9ttar a\u00f0 \u00feegar uppgefin kosninga\u00farslit stemma ekki vi\u00f0 \u00fe\u00e6r, \u00fe\u00e1 er um kosningasvindl a\u00f0 r\u00e6\u00f0a. \u00deetta er \u00e1hugaver\u00f0 kenning og fullrar athygli ver\u00f0. (\u00de\u00f3tt vssulega s\u00e9 nokku\u00f0 vel \u00ed\u00ad lagt hj\u00e1 Pawel a\u00f0 kalla 6% og 13% sveiflur: „tugpr\u00f3sent“).<\/p>\n

En s\u00e1 sem segir A – hann \u00fearf l\u00ed\u00adka a\u00f0 segja B. Ef sigur r\u00e1\u00f0amanns \u00ed\u00ad \u00dakra\u00ed\u00adnu \u00e1 fulltr\u00faa stj\u00f3rnarandst\u00f6\u00f0unnar \u00ed\u00ad tr\u00e1ssi vi\u00f0 \u00fatg\u00f6ngusp\u00e1r er s\u00f6nnun \u00e1 kosningasvikum, hvernig m\u00e1 \u00fe\u00e1 sk\u00fdra sigur sitjandi Bandar\u00ed\u00adkjaforseta \u00ed\u00ad Ohio \u00fevert \u00e1 \u00fatg\u00f6ngusp\u00e1r? \u00dea\u00f0 var engin h\u00e1lfspr\u00f3sentssveifla sem \u00fear \u00e1tti s\u00e9r sta\u00f0, heldur \u00f6llu meira. S\u00f6mu s\u00f6gu m\u00e1 raunar segja um Fl\u00f3r\u00ed\u00adda og Pennsylvan\u00ed\u00adu. (Reyndar g\u00e1fu \u00fatg\u00f6ngusp\u00e1r Al Gore sigurinn \u00ed\u00ad Fl\u00f3r\u00ed\u00adda 2000.)<\/p>\n

Ef eitthva\u00f0 er, \u00e6ttu \u00fatg\u00f6ngusp\u00e1r a\u00f0 vera markt\u00e6kari \u00ed\u00ad Fl\u00f3r\u00ed\u00adda en \u00ed\u00ad \u00dakra\u00ed\u00adnu, \u00fear sem \u00e1 fyrrnefnda sta\u00f0num hafa fyrirt\u00e6ki \u00e1 svi\u00f0i sko\u00f0anakannanager\u00f0ar \u00e1ratuga reynslu af sl\u00ed\u00adkri framkv\u00e6md. – Getur Pawel Bartoszek komist a\u00f0 annarri ni\u00f0urst\u00f6\u00f0u en a\u00f0 um kosningasvik stj\u00f3rnvalda hafi veri\u00f0 a\u00f0 r\u00e6\u00f0a \u00ed\u00ad Bandar\u00ed\u00adkjunum? Spyr s\u00e1 sem ekki veit.<\/p>\n

Annars m\u00e6tti skrifa langa f\u00e6rslu um \u00fatg\u00f6ngusp\u00e1r sem ekki r\u00ed\u00adma vi\u00f0 kosninga\u00farslit. Fr\u00e6gasta d\u00e6mi\u00f0 er e.t.v. bresku \u00feingkosningarnar 1992. \u00dear var\u00f0 8,5% sveifla, r\u00ed\u00adkisstj\u00f3rninni \u00ed\u00ad vil. Skyldi John Major hafa svindla\u00f0? \u00dea\u00f0 hl\u00fdtur eiginlega a\u00f0 vera.<\/p>\n

\u00dea\u00f0 er ekki h\u00e6gt a\u00f0 tr\u00faa stundum \u00e1 \u00fatg\u00f6ngusp\u00e1r og stundum ekki.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00c1 vefritinu Deiglunni ritar Pawel Bartoszek grein um kosningarnar \u00ed\u00ad \u00dakra\u00ed\u00adnu. Sem hans er von og v\u00ed\u00adsa, er greinin \u00e1 st\u00e6r\u00f0fr\u00e6\u00f0ilegum n\u00f3tum. Ni\u00f0ursta\u00f0a Pawels er sk\u00fdr: \u00datg\u00f6ngusp\u00e1 sem ger\u00f0 var \u00e1 yfir 30.000 manna \u00fartaki s\u00fdndi a\u00f0 J\u00fast\u00e9nko var me\u00f0 54% atkv\u00e6\u00f0a en Jan\u00fak\u00e9vits a\u00f0eins 43%. \u00c1 \u00feeirri k\u00f6nnun var f\u00f3lk be\u00f0i\u00f0 um a\u00f0 krossa … Halda \u00e1fram a\u00f0 lesa: \u00datg\u00f6ngusp\u00e1r<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-819","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/stefan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/819","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/stefan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/stefan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/stefan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/stefan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=819"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/stefan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/819\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/stefan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=819"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/stefan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=819"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/truflun.net\/stefan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=819"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}